We take a look at Saturday’s (27/07/2019) AFL 2019 Week 19 match is between St Kilda Saints and Melbourne Demons. The Demons opened at pretty short odds in betting but there has been no surprise that the Saints have been heavily backed in early betting at the big odds.
When: Saturday July 27, 7:25pm
Where: Marvel Stadium
Bet: Bet On This Match HERE
A coaching change has done the Saints the world of good, as Brett Ratten steered them to a 27-point win against the Dogs last weekend, just their third triumph in 10 games. A six-goal to one opening term set up the win, as the Saints led for much of the game, with Jack Lonie booting 4 goals and snaring 20 disposals.
The Dees’ poor season continued in round 18 as they let another close game slip, losing to the Eagles by 13 points in Alice Springs. Melbourne fell behind by more than five goals in the second quarter, before coming back to lead at the final change, but were once again overrun. That loss sees them fall to 17th on the table, one spot ahead of the last placed Suns.
Marvel Stadium has been a horror venue for the Dees historically, with the red and blue having just a 6-22 record at the ground since 2009. In the past two seasons, they are 3-1 under the roof, with two of those wins coming against the Saints.
In round five, St Kilda shocked Melbourne to win by 40 points at the MCG, restricting the Dees to just 55 points. It’s been profitable to fade the Dees at the line, as they’ve covered just 5 times all season. The Saints haven’t been much better at 6-11, but 5 of their 7 wins this season have come at Marvel Stadium.
The Wolf can’t back the Dees, especially as favourites. The Saints love playing at Marvel and Melbourne’s forward line might struggle to kick a winning score.
Tip: St Kilda Saints at $2.00
Value Tip: First Goal Scorer: Josh Bruce at $10.00
B: Coffield, Brown, Savage
HB: Wilkie, Carlisle, Clark
C: Billings, Ross, Newnes
HF: Sinclair, Bruce, Long
F: Lonie, Membrey, Langlands
FOLL: Marshall, Acres, Gresham
I/C: Dunstan, Steele, Paton, Hind
EMG: Battle, Parker, Rice, Joyce
B: Hibberd, Lever, Jetta
HB: Lewis, Frost, Salem
C: Jones, Oliver, Baker
HF: Harmes, Petty, Hunt
F: Petracca, T.Smith, Fritsch
FOLL: Gawn, Viney, Brayshaw
I/C: O.McDonald, Neal-Bullen, C.Wagner, J.Wagner
EMG: Preuss, Weideman, Hore, Dunkley
IN: Baker, T.Smith, O.McDonald
OUT: May, Preuss, Lockhart
*Odds correct at time of posting. Subject to change