We take a look at Saturday nights (7/9/2019) AFL 2019 Finals Week 1 match is between the Brisbane Lions and the Richmond Tigers. The Lions will host the Tigers at the Gabba in arguably the most anticipated match of the weekend. The in form Tigers have been heavily backed to win this one after beating Brisbane in the last round of the season pretty easily.
When: Saturday 7th September at 7:25PM
Where: The Gabba
Bet: Bet On This Match HERE
The Tigers finished the season on a roll, winning nine of their last 10 games to roar into premiership favouritism ($3). With wins against the Eagles and Lions in their final two home and away games, Richmond look in ominous form to repeat their premiership winning efforts of 2017.
They travel to Brisbane to play the season’s most unlikely top four side in Brisbane. The Lions are $7 to win the flag, but with a win on Saturday, they will have a home preliminary final and are every chance to progress to the last Saturday in September. Home form has been the key to the Lions’ 2019 success, winning 10 games and losing just one at the Gabba this season.
Despite that, they are $2.20 underdogs to topple the Tigers, who are $1.68 favourites. Richmond is favoured by 6.5 points at the line, having covered 14 times from 22 matches this campaign.
The Tigers are 6-0 against the spread at the Gabba since 2009 and 6-0 straight up. They have an average winning margin of 45 points in those six games. The Wolf doesn’t see this one getting out of hand for the Loins, but a Richmond win is likely based on all the stats and recent history.
Tip: Richmond Tigers at $1.65
Value Tip: First Goal Scorer: Jack Riewoldt at $8.00
B: L.Hodge, H.Andrews, M.Adams
HB: A.Witherden, D.Gardiner, D.Rich
C: D.Zorko, J.Berry, M.Robinson
HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, H.McCluggage
F: O.McInerney, D.McStay, C.Rayner
FOLL: S.Martin, L.Neale, J.Lyons
I/C: A.Christensen, L.McCarthy, Z.Bailey, N.Answerth
EMG: B.Keays, J.Walker, L.Taylor, R.Lester
OUT: C.Cox (Omitted)
B: D.Astbury, N.Broad, D.Grimes
HB: B.Houli, N.Vlastuin, J.Short
C: B.Ellis, D.Prestia, J.Caddy
HF: D.Rioli, T.Cotchin, K.Lambert
F: S.Bolton, T.Lynch, J.Riewoldt
FOLL: T.Nankervis, S.Edwards, D.Martin
I/C: I.Soldo, L.Baker, J.Graham, J.Castagna
EMG: J.Ross, M.Pickett, M.Chol, D.Butler
OUT: N.Balta (Omitted)
*Odds correct at time of posting. Subject to change