LNP home in QLD Election says odds

Posted by on 20/1/2015
Filled in: Political

The swing against the LNP doesn’t look like preventing them from holding onto government, but it is expected to claim the scalps of a number of Ministers.

Online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au has opened a market on how many will be ousted on January 31, with “two” priced as the $5.00 favourite, just ahead of “one” at $5.50.

In what would be a disaster for the Coalition, 6 or more Ministers to lose their electorates is paying $8.00.

$6.00 is on offer for all of them to retain their seats.

“The polls suggest it’s unlikely that all 19 ministers will escape unscathed in this election. The Premier himself would no doubt be getting nervous with the ALP favoured to knock off the Premier in Ashgrove,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Christian Jantzen.

Markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au

QLD Election – Winning Party

(prices in brackets from 16/1/15)

$1.05   LNP                 (steady)

$9.00   ALP                  (steady)

$201    Greens             (steady)

$201    PUP                  (steady)

$201    KAP                  (steady)

 

Number of Ministers to lose seats

$6.00   0

$5.50   1

$5.00   2

$6.00   3

$8.00   4

$10      5

$8.00   6 or more

 

Albert

$1.75   LNP

$2.00   ALP

 

Algester

$1.15   ALP     

$5.00   LNP

 

Ashgrove

$1.75   ALP

$2.00   LNP

 

Aspley

$1.02   LNP

$8.00   ALP

 

Barron River

$1.70   LNP

$2.10   ALP

 

Beaudesert

$1.01   LNP

$12      ALP

 

Brisbane Central

$1.08   ALP

$7.00   LNP

$21      Greens

 

Broadwater

$1.60   LNP

$2.35   ALP

$17      PUP

 

Buderim

$1.02   LNP

$12      ALP

 

Bundaberg

$1.15   LNP

$5.00   ALP

 

Bundamba

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Bulimba

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Burdekin

$1.40   LNP

$5.00   ALP

$6.00   IND

$11      KAP

 

Burleigh

$1.95   ALP

$2.20   LNP

$8.00   PUP

 

Burnett

$1.02   LNP

$11      ALP

 

Cairns

$1.30   ALP

$3.30   LNP

 

Callide

$1.02   LNP

$11      IND

$21      ALP

 

Caloundra

$1.03   LNP

$15      ALP

$21      Greens

 

Capalaba

$1.05   ALP

$9.00   LNP

 

Chatsworth

$1.25   LNP

$3.75   ALP

 

Clayfield

$1.02   LNP

$11      ALP

 

Cleveland

$1.02   LNP

$11      ALP

 

Condamine

$1.55   LNP

$2.50   KAP

$21      ALP

 

Cook

$1.20   ALP

$4.50   LNP

$14      KAP

 

Coomera

$1.02   LNP

$11      ALP

 

Currumbin

$1.05   LNP

$11      ALP

$17      PUP

 

Dalrymple

$1.10   KAP

$7.00   LNP

$21      ALP

 

Everton

$1.50   LNP

$2.45   ALP

 

Ferny Grove

$1.45   ALP

$2.60   LNP

 

Gaven

$1.85   LNP

$2.80   ALP

$5.50   IND

$12      PUP

 

Gladstone

$1.40   ALP

$3.00   IND

$16      LNP

 

Glass House

$1.05   LNP

$11      ALP

$16      PUP

 

Greenslopes

$1.15   ALP

$5.00   LNP

 

Gregory

$1.07   LNP

$9.00   KAP

$21      ALP

 

Gympie

$1.02   LNP

$13      KAP

$21      ALP

 

Hervey Bay

$1.06   LNP

$8.00   ALP

 

Hinchinbrook

$1.10   LNP

$6.50   ALP

$10      KAP

 

Inala

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Indooroopilly

$1.02   LNP

$13      ALP

$21      Greens

 

Ipswich

$1.07   ALP

$9.00   LNP

$16      IND

 

Ipswich West

$1.20   ALP

$4.20   LNP

 

Kallangur

$1.87   LNP

$1.87   ALP

 

Kawana

$1.02   LNP

$16      PUP

$21      ALP

 

Keppel

$1.50   ALP

$2.50   LNP

 

Lockyer

$1.15   LNP

$5.00   One Nation

$11      KAP

$26      ALP

 

Logan

$1.04   ALP

$9.00   LNP

 

Lytton

$1.03   ALP

$10      LNP

$13      IND

 

Mackay

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Mansfield

$1.25   LNP

$3.75   ALP

 

Maroochydore

$1.10   LNP

$7.00   PUP

$21      ALP

 

Maryborough

$1.35   IND

$3.40   LNP

$16      PUP

$19      ALP

 

Mermaid Beach

$1.02   LNP

$12      ALP

 

Mirani

$1.70   LNP

$2.05   ALP                 

 

Moggill

$1.01   LNP

$13      ALP

 

Morayfield

$1.20   ALP

$4.00   LNP

 

Mount Coot-Tha

$1.15   ALP

$6.00   LNP

$17      Greens

 

Mount Isa

$1.15   KAP

$5.00   ALP

$21      LNP

 

Mount Ommaney

$1.10   LNP

$6.00   ALP

 

Mudgeeraba

$1.01   LNP

$16      PUP

$21      ALP

 

Mulgrave

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Mundingburra

$1.50   LNP

$2.45   ALP                 

 

Murrumba

$1.20   ALP

$4.20   LNP

 

Nanango

$1.25   LNP

$3.75   KAP

$11      ALP

 

Nicklin

$1.20   IND

$4.20   LNP

$21      ALP

 

Noosa

$1.01   LNP

$21      ALP

$21      Greens

 

Nudgee

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Pine Rivers

$1.50   LNP

$2.50   ALP

 

Pumicestone

$1.65   LNP

$2.10   ALP

 

Redcliffe

$1.15   ALP

$5.00   LNP

 

Redlands

$1.22   LNP

$4.00   ALP

 

Rockhampton

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Sandgate

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

South Brisbane

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Southern Downs

$1.01   LNP

$12      ALP

 

Southport

$1.20  LNP    

$4.50   ALP

$21      PUP

 

Springwood

$1.35   LNP

$3.00   ALP

 

Stafford

$1.03   ALP

$10      LNP

 

Stretton

$1.25   ALP

$4.00   LNP

$11      IND

 

Surfers Paradise

$1.02   LNP

$12      ALP

 

Sunnybank

$1.10   ALP

$6.00   LNP

 

Thuringowa

$1.08   ALP

$7.00   LNP

 

Toowoomba North

$1.50   ALP

$2.50   LNP

 

Toowoomba South

$1.04   LNP

$10      ALP

 

Townsville

$1.07   ALP

$8.00   LNP

 

Warrego

$1.02   LNP

$12      ALP

 

Waterford

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Whitsunday

$1.50   LNP                

$2.50   ALP                 

 

Woodridge

$1.01   ALP

$12      LNP

 

Yeerongpilly

$1.07   ALP

$10      IND

$15      LNP

$21      Greens

$21      PUP