Tattersall’s Mile Tips, Odds and Betting – 2014

Posted by on 11/7/2014
Filled in: Horse Racing

The former John O’Shea trained galloper Kingdoms made a winning start for his new Trainer Brian Smith when he impressively took out the Listed Centenary Mile three weeks ago, first up off a thirty three week spell. Punters are backing him to make add another feature win to his resume in this weekend’s Tattersall’s Mile. Kingdoms has opened up the $2.60 favourite and will jump from the inside gate in a field of thirteen. On the second line of betting is Transporter ($4.60) who, although disappointing when well beaten last start as favourite, has excellent stats for this course and the mile distance. Black Cash ($8.50), Jetset Lad ($6.50) and last start Rockhampton Cup winner Vandalised ($8.00) are the other runners in the race under double figure odds when market first opened on Wednesday night.

Tattersall’s Mile Handicap Form Guide

 

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1. BELLTONE – M Cahill (13) 59kgs

Has he did so in his most recent start, the Kelso Wood 8yo has drawn poorly and will jump from the widest gate.
He settled back in the Glasshouse Handicap a fortnight ago and from last on the turn, made little impression in the run home, finishing thirteenth and 6 ½ lengths from the winner Alma’s Fury.
Half of his ten career wins have come at this track but struggling to produce his best this time in and won’t find it easier to recapture that form with top weight and the widest draw.

Odds: $21.00

 

2. TRANSPORTER – J Byrne (6) 58kgs

After an impressive 2 ½ length win in the Listed Strawberry Road (1600m) Stakes, the John Thompson trained galloper started the 5/2 favourite in his next and most recent start, the Listed Centenary Mile (1600m) three weeks ago. He draw the inside gate and settled in behind the pace but was disappointing in the run home, struggling into ninth spot, 7 ¼ lengths behind Kingdoms. He has finished in the top two six times from seven starts this track and distance and with a dry track, can bounce back.

Odds: $4.60

 

3. KINGDOMS – L Cassidy (1) 57.5kgs

Brian Smith’s 4yo gelding resumed at 20/1 in the Listed Centenary Stakes three weeks back but belied his odds with an excellent 1 ¼ length win over Hi Son. He has always shown a bit of promise and from the tail of the field, displayed his true ability by moving into the race strongly heading around the turn before peeling wide and finishing strongly. Hard to imagine he hasn’t gone on from that run but the inside gate on the tighter Doomben track might pose a problem to be weary of.

Odds: $2.60

 

4. WINNING GLORY – A Spinks (9) 56kgs

After two disappointing efforts in Sydney, where he was beaten over a dozen lengths in two Stakes races, the 6yo gelding was shipped up to Roma Trainer Wayne Baker. He’s had three starts on his new home track of Rockhampton finishing third in the first of them and just behind the placegetter in his next two, including a seventh (3 lengths) in the recent Rockhampton Cup (1600m). Will enjoy some weight relief after being assigned huge weights up north but think last year’s Newcastle Cup winner may be looking for longer again.

Odds: $26.00

 

5. GREY ASSIGNMENT – V Colgan (3) 55.5kgs

Improved sharply with the rise in distance to the 2150m of the Ipswich Cup, running third (1.2 lengths) behind Brave Ali and Noisy Ocean. That was only his second run behind a mile this prep and it was a tough one, he’ll be better for it. Also entered for Thursday’s Grafton Cup (2150m) and if he opts for this race, may find a few too sharp over the mile.

Odds: $26.00

 

6. BLACK CASH – G Goold (11) 54.5kgs

Ran a great fourth behind Sacred Star in the QTC Cup and then rightly started one of the popular choices in the Listed Eye-Liner Stakes on Ipswich Cup Day. The 5yo by Show A Heart disappointed in the Eye-Liner after getting a run that should’ve produced more, finishing second to last and near eight lengths from the winner Alma’s Fury.
He bounced back at this next and most recent start, chasing home the same horse when third (2 lengths) in the Listed Glasshouse Handicap. Will shoot over from a wide gate and his last start this track/trip resulted in a third (1.2 lengths) behind Someday in the Listed Brisbane Handicap.

Odds: $9.00

 

7. LAUREN TATE – D Browne (7) 54kgs

A New Zealand mare that will be lining up for her fifth Queensland start since she crossed the Tasman Sea two months ago. After finding the competition in the Brisbane staying features too strong, she ventured to Rockhampton for her most recent start, the Rockhampton Cup (1600m). She settled well back in the field under 57kgs but made good ground up the long straight to run second (head) to Vandalised. Drops 3kgs here but that concession may not be enough to see her account for the stronger field.

Odds: $21.00

 

8. JETSET LAD – A Allen (2) 54kgs

Another New Zealand horse who has finishing fourth in his two Queensland starts, the Listed Eye Liner Stakes (3.2 lengths) and the Listed Glasshouse Handicap (2.1 lengths). Closed from well back in the above two runs but from an inside gate, might take up a more prominent position come Saturday. The 6yo gelding has won over 1800m but over a mile, is yet to win from twelve starts, recording only four placings.

Odds: $7.50

 

9. VANDALISED – B Stewart (4) 54kgs

Made it four wins straight, and five from his last six, when recording a head win in the Rockhampton Cup (1600m) at his most recent start three weeks back. He drew the second to widest gate and was last as the field straightened for home before rounding them up in good style. Can take up a forward spot in the run and will do so from gate four. Takes on a better field here but no denying his form at the moment and can’t be dismissed.

Odds: $7.50

 

10. VEEWAP – T Bell (4) 54kgs

Former Victorian galloper now with the Rob Heathcote stable and has finished in the top five in each of his five starts for his new stable. Had his chance after drawing well in the Listed Strawberry Road (1600m) but could only manage fifth (5.5 lengths) behind Transporter before finishing well to claim fourth in the Rockhampton Cup (1600m) at his most recent start. Few runs under the belt now, a drop of 2kgs and leading hoop onboard earns this bloke a legitimate each-way chance.

Odds: $21.00

 

11. BOREHOLE – R Jamieson (10) 54kgs

Resumed off a twelve week spell with a second to last placing in the Listed Centenary Mile (1600m) where he made no impression after settling at the tail of the field. He’ll get back again from a wide gate and hard to see him finishing any closer on Saturday on his first up run.

Odds: $101.00

 

12. BEWHATYOUWANNABE – G Colless (5) 54kgs

Had every chance when scoring a nose win in a BM 90 three starts back before finishing a close up fourth (1 length) and fifth (1 ½ lengths) in a BM 90 and BM 85 respectively. Will get every chance again here but stepping up in class, likely to find at least a few too good.

Odds: $21.00

 

13. ARMS LENGTH – (12) 54kgs

Former Sydney based mare now with Noel Doyle’s Gold Coast stable, she’s had two runs in Queensland in the past month. The first was a promising eighth (4 ¾ lengths) in the Eye Liner Stakes, where she closed from last on the turn at her first run in a month but then disappointed at her following start when, as a 3/1 chance, she failed make up the ground required from the tail of the field, finishing second to last in the field of eight in a BM 80.
Will get back again from a wide draw but on last start, can’t see her running the opposition down.

Odds: $101.00

 

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RACE OVERVIEW

Winning Glory and Black Cash push forward from their wider draws with Transporter, Jetset Lad and Vandalised handy. Pace appears to be only a moderate one on paper and back at Doomben, it could be an advantage to be up on the speed. Transporter was very good in the Listed Strawberry Stakes sitting up on the speed and, back on a good track, could be the one again here. Plus, his record at this track/trip is first rate Plenty to like about Kingdoms first up win, just would like to see him over a touch and the three weeks between runs should see him still fresh enough for another mile race.

  1. TRANSPORTER
  2. KINGDOMS
  3. BLACK CASH
  4. JETSET LAD