Traitors tipped to win Norm Smith Medal 2014

Posted by on 25/9/2014
Filled in: AFL

Buddy Franklin is the one everyone is talking about, but the fact is neither the Swans or the Hawks have been shy about attracting quality players from other teams to get them to the Grand Final.

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With that in mind and the sheer number of players who have pulled on another jumper during their career, online bookmaker has opened a Norm Smith Traitors v Traditionalists market.

Despite two of the favourites in Buddy Franklin and Josh Kennedy representing the ‘traitors’, they find themselves as the $2.40 outsiders to have a two club player win the Norm Smith.

With the numbers in their favour, the one club ‘traditionalist’ players have been priced at $1.50.

In overall Norm Smith betting, Franklin, Kennedy and Luke Parker are equal $8.00 favourites ahead of Sam Mitchell $9.00, Luke Hodge ($11) and Jordan Lewis ($11).

Sportsbet has also opened markets on how Buddy will go against his old teammates, namely Jarryd Roughead. It looks like it will be a tough contest, but Buddy is priced at $1.70 to kick more goals with Roughead not far behind at $2.05.

The Boo Buddy squad had better get their vocal cords ready, with Buddy priced at $1.75 to kick more goals than points.

The Swans continue to dominate match betting, with four times the money being bet on them this week at $1.60. The Hawks remain $2.40 outsiders.

“Buddy coming back to haunt the Hawks has been their worst nightmare, but according to the betting it looks like coming true. He is the Norm Smith favourite as well as the favourite to kick the most and the first goal. The betting suggests it could be a massive day for Buddy,” said’s Shaun Anderson.

Markets courtesy of
AFL Premiership winner
$1.60     Sydney Swans
$2.40     Hawthorn Hawks                   

Norm Smith – Traitor or Traditionalist?
$1.50     Traditionalist (one club player)
$2.50     Traitor (played at more than one club)

Buddy Goalfest?
$1.75     Buddy to kick more goals than points
$2.90     Buddy to kick more points than goals
$5.00     Equal


Buddy v Roughy
$1.70     Buddy to kick more goals
$2.05     Roughead to kick more goals
$5.00     Equal

Norm Smith Medal Winner
$8.00     Lance Franklin                      

$8.00     Josh Kennedy                       
$8.00     Luke Parker
$9.00     Sam Mitchell
$11        Luke Hodge
$11        Jordan Lewis
$12        Daniel Hannebery
$15        Jarryd Roughead
$16        Ben McGlynn
$18        Kieran Jack
$23        Jarrad McVeigh
$26        Issac Smith
$26        Shaun Burgoyne
$31        Jack Gunston
$31        Nick Malceski
$31        Luke Breust
$31        Kurt Tippett
$34        Cyril Rioli
$34        Adam Goodes

First goal
$7.50     Lance Franklin                      

$8.50     Jarryd Roughead
$10        Kurt Tippett
$11        Jack Gunston
$14        Adam Goodes
$15        Luke Breust
$17        Luke Parker, Cyril Rioli
$18        Sam Reid
$21        Ben McGlynn, David Hale
$23        Harry Cunningham
$26        Paul Puopolo
Others quoted

Most goals
$3.00     Lance Franklin                      

$4.00     Jarryd Roughead
$6.50     Kurt Tippett
$7.00     Jack Gunston
$12        Luke Breust
$13        Adam Goodes
$14        Sam Reid
$17        Luke Parker
Others quoted

Most possessions                       
$4.25     Josh Kennedy                       
$4.50     Sam Mitchell
$5.00     Luke Parker
$6.00     Jordan Lewis, Daniel Hannebery
$9.00     Luke Hodge
$10        Jarrad McVeigh
$12        Liam Shiels