Joel Selwood’s odds crunched in 2014 Brownlow Medal betting

Posted by on 28/7/2014
Filled in: AFL

Joel Selwood has been the biggest mover in Brownlow Medal betting following the completion of Round 18 of the AFL, firming from $11 into $6.50 fourth favouritism at Sportingbet.com.au.

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Sportingbet’s analysts failed to award Josh Kennedy ($3.75) and Scott Pendlebury ($4.25) any votes in Round 18, meaning Selwood is just two votes behind Kennedy and only one vote behind Pendlebury in Sportingbet’s running Brownlow Medal vote tally.

Gary Ablett ($5) still maintains a five vote lead over Kennedy, according to Sportingbet.

“Punters have actually stepped back in and backed Ablett after the weekend, believing his hopes of holding on have improved,” Sportingbet’s Andrew Brown said.

“Most of the recent cash has swung Selwood’s way though as the Cats captain continues his late-season charge.”

2014 Brownlow Medal Winner

Sportingbet.com.au market

Josh Kennedy $3.75 (was $3.50)

Scott Pendlebury $4.25 (was $3.50)

Gary Ablett $5 (was $7)

Joel Selwood $6.50 (was $10)

Lance Franklin $17 (steady)

Travis Boak $17 (was $15)

Brent Harvey $17 (steady)

Others $21+

See the table below for Sportingbet’s estimated Brownlow Medal vote tally.

Sportingbet’s analysts award half votes when they can’t split certain player performances, a system that has proven to balance out over the course of the season and provide a more accurate prediction of a player’s final vote numbers.

2014 Brownlow Medal

Votes according to Sportingbet’s AFL analysts. Odds from Sportingbet.com.au

 

Player Team Round 18 Votes Overall Sportingbet.com.auOdds
Gary Ablett [GC] GC 0 24.5 $5.00
Nathan Fyfe [FRE] FRE 0 20.5 Ineligible
Josh Kennedy [SYD] SYD 0 19.5 $3.75
Steve Johnson [GEE] GEE 2.5 19 Ineligible
Scott Pendlebury [COL] COL 0 18.5 $4.25
Joel Selwood [GEE] GEE 2.5 17.5 $6.50
Matthew Priddis [WCE] WCE 2.5 16.5 $21.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] NTH 0 15 $17.00
Nathan Jones [MEL] MEL 1 14.5 $31.00
Lance Franklin [SYD] SYD 0.5 14 $17.00
Patrick Dangerfield [ADE] ADE 1 13.5 $23.00
Aaron Sandilands [FRE] FRE 0 13 $26.00
Trent Cotchin [RIC] RIC 0 13 $23.00
Travis Boak [PTA] PTA 0 13 $17.00
Dayne Beams [COL] COL 2 13 $23.00
Rory Sloane [ADE] ADE 0 12.5 $41.00
Marc Murphy [CAR] CAR 0 12 $41.00
Scott Thompson [ADE] ADE 0 11.5 $41.00
Dustin Martin [RIC] RIC 2.5 11.5 $41.00
Tom Liberatore [WBU] WBU 0 11 $41.00
Callan Ward [GWS] GWS 0.5 11 $101.00