AFL Round 17: Melbourne Demons vs Geelong Cats tips, odds, teams and betting

Posted by on 12/7/2014
Filled in: AFL

The first game on Saturday for AFL Round 17 is between Melbourne Demons and Geelong Cats. The opening bounce is set to commence at 1:45 PM with the game to be played at MCG. The favourite for the match is away team Melbourne Demons. View our preview and teams for the game between Melbourne Demons and Geelong Cats.

Round:Round 17 , July 12, 2014, 1:45 PM
Stadium:MCG
Weather:12° A few showers.

Featured Bookmakers:

[iframe_loader width=”690″ height=”310″ src=”http://www.sportsnews.com.au/odds/afl/match.php?id=1352831&sb&lx&b3″]

Tips: Geelong -36.5 at $1.92 with Sportsbet + get a $250 FREE BET on the match

Preview:

The Demons play the Cats on Saturday, 1.45PM at the MCG. This looks like a pretty easy win for the Cats, who have won four of their past five matches and put
themselves in 5th ladder position. Geelong have been far from convincing in these victories, however, and really need to win this one if they have any aspirations of a top-four finish. In contrast, the Demons are coming off a bad loss against Fremantle last round and are likely to suffer a similar defeat against the Cats unless they turn things around in a big way.

LAST FIVE TIMES
R16, 2013, Geelong 13.20 (98) d Melbourne 4.6 (30) at Simonds Stadium
R6, 2012, Geelong 17.17 (119) d Melbourne 11.10 (76) at Simonds Stadium
R19, 2011, Geelong 37.11 (233) d Melbourne 7.5 (47) at Simonds Stadium
R10, 2010, Geelong 18.13 (121) d Melbourne 10.7 (67) at Simonds Stadium
R16, 2009, Geelong 17.15 (117) d Melbourne 11.5 (71) at Simonds Stadium

THE SIX POINTS
1. Geelong has been dominant against Melbourne over the past decade, winning 11 of 15 contests since 2004. The Cats have won the last nine contests against the Demons by an average winning margin of 71 points.

2. Melbourne last defeated Geelong in round six, 2006. Since then the Demons have had seven senior coaches including the incumbent Paul Roos.

3. Don’t expect the teams to win the ball out of the centre square with any regularity on Saturday. Melbourne is ranked last for centre clearances (averaging 9.8 per game), while Geelong does not fare much better, ranked 16th (11.1).

4. Geelong is second in the competition for marks inside 50 (203). In contrast, the Demons are placed 17th (133).

5. In total, the teams have clashed 210 times with Geelong holding a clear advantage, winning 125 games to the Demons’ 83 (with two draws).

6. Geelong’s Steve Johnson has averaged 36 disposals in his last three games against Melbourne, while Demon (and former Crow) Bernie Vince has averaged 28 disposals and has six goals from his last five games against the Cats. Johnson is 14th overall in the Official AFL Player Ratings, while Vince is ranked 172.

Teams:

MELBOURNE
B Lynden Dunn, James Frawley, Colin Garland
HB Jeremy Howe, Tom McDonald, Neville Jetta
C Jack Grimes, Bernie Vince, Jordie McKenzie
HF Matt Jones, Cameron Pedersen, Jack Watts
F Rohan Bail, Chris Dawes, Jack Viney
FOLL Mark Jamar, Dom Tyson, Nathan Jones
I/C Dean Terlich, Dean Kent, Aidan Riley, Luke Tapscott
EMG Max Gawn, Christian Salem, Sam Blease
IN Neville Jetta, Aidan Riley, Luke Tapscott
OUT Dom Barry (Omitted), Max Gawn (Omitted),Christian Salem (Omitted)

GEELONG

B Corey Enright, Tom Lonergan, Andrew Mackie
HB Cameron Guthrie, Harry Taylor, Jared Rivers
C Jimmy Bartel, Joel Selwood, Travis Varcoe
HF Allen Christensen, Shane Kersten, Jordan Murdoch
F Steven Motlop, Tom Hawkins, Steve Johnson
FOLL Hamish McIntosh, James Kelly, Josh Caddy
I/C Mark Blicavs, Mitch Duncan, Brad Hartman,George Horlin-Smith
EMG Jed Bews, Dawson Simpson, Billie Smedts
IN James Kelly
OUT Jed Bews (Omitted)