AFL 2014 Round 6 betting moves – Magpies tipped to win Anzac day clash

Posted by on 22/4/2014
Filled in: AFL

The Anzac Day match has a history of going down to the wire and it looks a chance to happen again, with online bookmaker sportsbet pricing $21 that the winning lead change will happen within the final five minutes of the match.

$650 AFL ROUND 6 FREE BET

Sportsbet is also tipping that Scott Pendlebury could be back to his usual best this week, pricing him at the $5.00 favourite to win the Anzac Day Medal.

In other notable betting movements:

  • Collingwood v Essendon: All of the early money has been for Collingwood who are $1.67 favourites. Essendon drifted from $1.68 favourites to $2.20 outsiders after losing to the Saints
  • St Kilda v Brisbane: Who would have thought a few weeks ago that this match would be so lopsided? Punters are jumping on the $1.42 for the Saints, with virtually no interest in Brisbane at $2.85.
  • Fremantle v North Melbourne: Punters were burnt by the Kangaroos ($3.25) last week and as a result don’t want any piece of them against Fremantle who are receiving virtually all the money at $1.33.
  • Gold Coast v GWS : Neither team were impressive over the weekend, and as a result punters are yet to declare their intentions in this one, with slightly more money for the Gold Coast ($1.22).
  • Carlton v West Coast: The Blues may be back on the winners table but punters aren’t convinced, with all the early money coming for the Eagles at $1.65.
  • Melbourne v Sydney: Barely no interest in Melbourne ($8.00) despite their improvement over the last few weeks. All the money is coming for the Swans at $1.08.
  • Western Bulldogs v Adelaide: The Crows firmed from $1.90 to $1.67 after their impressive win on the weekend. Not a lot of love for the Doggies at $2.20.
  • Hawthorn v Richmond: Punters think the Tigers are value in this one at $5.00, with money virtually even so far.
  • Port Adelaide v Geelong: The Cats are $1.72 favourites, but more than double the money has been bet on Port at $2.10.
  • Swan tipped for medal: Scott Pendlebury is the $5.00 favourite to win the Anzac Medal, but punters think Dane Swan is value at $9.00 and he has been the best backed. There has also been a lot of money for Paul Chapman at $12.
  • Cats firm for flag but Hawks still favs: The Cats are in from $6.50 to $5.00 for the flag and while the Hawks are out from $3.20 to $3.50, they are still favourites. Collingwood have been the big movers, in from $21 to $15.
  • Jack & Jack Coleman favourites: Jack Gunston and Jack Riewoldt are now equal $8.00 favourites for the Coleman along with Jarryd Roughead. But Travis Cloke has been the big mover, in from $34 to $12.
  • St Nick a Brownlow chance?: Nick Riewoldt is on fire and has firmed from $81 to $26 to win the Brownlow.

Markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au
Round 6 odds

$1.67     Collingwood
$2.20     Essendon                            

$1.42     St Kilda
$2.85     Brisbane                    

$1.33     Fremantle                     
$3.25     North Melbourne                     

$1.22     Gold Coast
$4.25     GWS                           

$2.25     Carlton                       
$1.65     West Coast

$8.00     Melbourne                     
$1.08     Sydney                      

$2.20     Western Bulldogs                      
$1.67     Adelaide                      

$5.00     Richmond
$1.17     Hawthorn                    

$2.10     Port Adelaide                      
$1.72     Geelong

Another Anzac Day classic?
$21        The winning lead to change within the final 5 minutes                            

Anzac Medal Winner
$5.00     Scott Pendlebury
$6.00     Jobe Watson

$8.00     Dayne Beams
$9.00     Dane Swan
$12        Brendon Goddard, Paul Chapman
$15        Brent Stanton, Dyson Heppell
$17        Travis Cloke
$19        David Zaharakis, Steele Sidebottom
$21        Luke Ball
$23        Michael Hibberd
$26        Jamie Elliott, Paddy Ryder
$34        Heritier Lumumba, Jake Carlisle, Jason Winderlich, Jesse White
$41        Alex Fasolo, Clinton Young, David Myers, Jackson Merrett, Jarryd Blair, Taylor Adams
Others quoted

Premiership winner
(Prices in brackets from Friday 18 April)
$3.50     Hawthorn                 (out from $3.20)
$5.00     Fremantle                 (out from $4.25)

$5.00     Geelong                     (in from $6.50)
$9.00     Sydney                       (in from $11)
$12        Port Adelaide            (in from $14)
$15        Collingwood              (in from $21)
$16        Essendon                   (out from $11)
$21        North Melbourne      (out from $16)
$21        West Coast                (out from $16)
$51        Gold Coast                 (steady)
$51        Adelaide                    (in from $67)
$67        Richmond                  (steady)
$151      Carlton                      (in from $201)
$201      Western Bulldogs      (steady)
$201      St Kilda                      (steady)
$501      GWS                          (out from $201)
$1001    Brisbane                    (steady)
$1001    Melbourne                (steady)


Least Wins

$1.83     Melbourne               (in from $2.00)
$2.10     Brisbane                    (in from $3.20)
$9.00     GWS                          (out from $7.00)
$15        St Kilda                      (out from $5.00)
$21        Carlton                      (out from $7.00)
$67        Essendon                   (in from $101)
$101      Adelaide                    (out from $51)
$101      Gold Coast                 (out from $51)
$101      Western Bulldogs      (out from 91)
$151      Richmond                  (in from $176)
$201      Sydney                       (out from $176)
$501      Collingwood              (out from $476)
$1000    Fremantle                 (steady)

Coleman Medal

$8.00     Jarryd Roughead     (out from $5.00)
$8.00     Jack Riewoldt
           (in from $12)
$8.00     Jack Gunston           (steady)
$9.00     Jeremy Cameron      (out from $7.00)
$9.00     Tom Hawkins            (in from $12)
$10        Matthew Pavlich       (steady)
$12        Josh Kennedy             (out from $7.00)
$12        Lance Franklin          (out from $8.00)
$12        Nick Riewoldt            (in from $18)
$12        Travis Cloke              (in from $34)
$17        Jay Schulz                  (out from $12)
$23        Luke Bruest               (out from $18)
$26        Stewart Crameri       (in from $34)               
Others quoted

Brownlow Medal

$4.00     Gary Ablett              (in from $5.50)
$6.00     Joel Selwood             (out from $5.00)
$9.00     Steve Johnson            (in from $12)
$10        Scott Pendlebury       (out from $9.00)
$11        Trent Cotchin            (in from $16)
$14        Sam Mitchell             (out from $10)
$14        Jobe Watson              (out from $11)
$16        Patrick Dangerfield   (in from $26)
$21        Aaron Sandilands      (steady)
$21        Dane Swan                (in from $34)
$21        Josh Kennedy            (in from $31)
$26        Dayne Beams            (out from $18)
$26        Nick Riewoldt            (in from $81)   
Others quoted