AFL 2014 Round 20 betting preview: Joel Selwood heads Bownlow Medal odds

Posted by on 4/8/2014
Filled in: AFL

Joel Selwood is the new favourite with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au to win the Brownlow Medal, but punters remain convinced that Nat Fyfe will poll the most votes on the night.

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With another best on ground performance, Selwood has firmed in from $6.00 into $4.00 to be equal favourite alongside Josh Kennedy who has drifted from $3.50 to $4.00.

But Fyfe remains the best odds to get the most votes, with punters jumping on the $3.00 offered since being BOG against Carlton on Thursday night.

Amazingly Gary Ablett remains in the hunt at $7.00

“Punters have snapped up the $3.00 we are offering for Fyfe to get the most votes. We aren’t surprised, we have Fyfe just behind Ablett for the most votes with four games to go. But Selwood is making a late surge and could be the real winner. He polled well last year and he is now the best backed player overall,” saidsportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.

In other AFL betting news:

  • Hawks firm: Sydney remain the $3.00 favourite to win the flag, but the Hawks have firmed after smashing the Dogs, in from $3.50 to $3.20. Regardless, the Swans remain the best backed team.
  • Saints spoon: St Kilda can start thinking about who they want to pick up with the number 1 pick in the draft, now into $1.50 to win the spoon.
  • Pies finals bound?: Collingwood’s season isn’t done yet, firming from $2.35 into $1.40 to make the finals.
  • Crows blow it: Adelaide’s upset loss could cost them a finals spot, out from $1.35 to $2.40 to make the finals.
  • Rough chance for Coleman: Jarryd Roughead’s six goals has seen him move into Coleman Medal contention, in from $18 to $4.00.

Markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au
Brownlow Medal

(Prices in brackets from Monday 28 July)
$4.00     Josh Kennedy
                       (out from $3.50)
$4.00     Joel Selwood                        (in from $6.00)
$5.00     Scott Pendlebury                   (out from $3.50)
$7.00     Gary Ablett                            (out from $6.00)
$16        Matthew Priddis                   (in from $21)
$21        Brent Harvey                         (out from $16)
$21        Trent Cotchin                        (in from $23)
$21        Dayne Beams                        (in from $26)
$21        Travis Boak                           (out from $14)
$26        Lance Franklin                       (out from $14)
$26        Patrick Dangerfield               (in from $31)                       
Others quoted
         

Ineligible players to ‘win’ the Brownlow – price to get the most Brownlow votes
$3.00   Nathan Fyfe to get the most votes                 (steady)
$21      Steve Johnson to get the most votes              (out from $18)
$26      Tom Rockliff to get the most votes                (in from $34)
$81      Brendan Goddard to get the most votes        (steady)
$101    Steele Sidebottom to get the most votes       (in from $201)
$501    Luke Shuey to get the most votes                   (steady)

Round 20
$2.50     Richmond
$1.50     Essendon

$4.70     GWS
$1.18     North Melbourne

$1.50     Carlton
$2.50     Gold Coast

$1.07     Hawthorn
$7.50     Melbourne

$2.70     Port Adelaide
$1.45     Sydney

$2.40     Brisbane
$1.55     Adelaide

$4.20     St Kilda
$1.21     Western Bulldogs

$2.00     West Coast
$1.76     Collingwood

Premiership winner
$3.00     Sydney
                      (steady)
$3.20     Hawthorn                  (in from $3.50)
$5.50     Fremantle                 (out from $5.00)
$6.50     Geelong                     (in from $8.00)
$15        Port Adelaide            (out from $12)
$41        Essendon                   (out from $26)
$41        North Melbourne      (out from $34)
$67        Adelaide                    (out from $51)
$67        Collingwood              (in from $81)
$151      Gold Coast                 (in from $501)
$501      West Coast                (steady)
$501      Richmond                  (steady)

Least Wins
$1.50     St Kilda                     (in from $1.67)
$4.20     GWS                          (out from $3.20)
$5.00     Melbourne                (in from $8.00)

Make the Final 8
$1.12     Kangaroos                (out from $1.10)
$1.33     Essendon                   (out from $1.22)
$1.40     Collingwood              (in from $2.35)
$2.40     Adelaide                    (out from $1.35)
$3.50     Gold Coast                 (in from $6.00)
$10        West Coast                (in from $31)
$16        Richmond                  (out from $15)

To miss the Final 8
$1.01     Richmond                 (steady)
$1.04     West Coast                (out from $1.01)                
$1.30     Gold Coast                 (out from $1.12)                
$1.57     Adelaide                    (in from $3.10)                  
$2.90     Collingwood              (out from $1.60)             
$4.50     Kangaroos                 (in from $7.00)

Coleman Medal
$3.00     Lance Franklin (50)              (out from $2.25)
$3.50     Jay Schulz (53)                       (steady)
$4.00     Jarryd Roughead (50)           (in from $18)
$4.00     Tom Hawkins (51)                 (in from $6.00)
$16        Jack Riewoldt (46)                 (out from $13)
$26        Jack Gunston (44)                  (steady)
$26        Josh Kennedy (43)                 (in from $34)
$26        Luke Breust (46)                    (in from $34)
$51        Nick Riewoldt (43)                (out from $29)
Others quoted