AFL 2014 Round 18 week 1 shakes up odds and betting markets

Posted by on 21/7/2014
Filled in: AFL

Geelong skipper Joel Selwood looks set to make the most of Gary Ablett missing the remainder of the season, with the onballer firming from $10 into $6.00 with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au after dominating yesterday.

After coming second in the Brownlow count last year Selwood is now only behind Josh Kennedy and Scott Pendlebury who are equal favourites at $3.50.

In other AFL betting news:

  • Bontempelli a star: Bulldogs young gun Marcus Bontempelli is now better than a toss of the coin chance to be the Rising Star, firming into $1.90. His teammate Jake Stringer has had his odds halved after kicking five goals yesterday, in from $51 into $26.
  • Swans well backed: It looms as the match of the round, but punters don’t think it will be a close one between the Hawks and Swans, with more than double the money coming for Sydney.
  • Saints spoon not so sure: Their upset win over the Dockers could cost them the top pick in the draft, with St Kilda drifting from $1.14 to $1.90 for the Spoon. Brisbane are in from $8.00 to $3.50.
  • Saints shortest price for the flag: They didn’t even play over the weekend but that didn’t stop the Swans firming into $2.75, the shortest price of any team so far this year.

“Most of the money since Ablett went down has gone on Pendlebury and Kennedy, but Joel Selwood has been flying under the radar. He will get a heap of votes early on and he has hit some form again, so the $6.00 could be value,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.

Markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au
Round 18
$1.52     West Coast

$2.55     Richmond

$2.85     Brisbane

$1.43     Gold Coast

$2.15     Hawthorn
$1.72     Sydney

$1.77     Collingwood
$2.05     Adelaide

Premiership winner
(Prices in brackets from Tuesday 15 July)
$2.75     Sydney
                      (in from $3.00)
$4.00     Hawthorn                  (in from $4.50)
$5.00     Fremantle                 (out from $3.50)
$6.00     Geelong                     (in from $7.00)
$12        Port Adelaide            (in from $15)
$34        Essendon                   (in from $51)
$34        North Melbourne      (out from $21)
$51        Collingwood              (steady)
$81        Gold Coast                 (steady)
$101      Adelaide                    (steady)
$501      West Coast                (steady)
$501      Carlton                      (steady)
$501      Richmond                  (steady)

Least Wins
$1.90     St Kilda
                     (out from $1.14)
$3.50     Brisbane                    (in from $8.00)
$4.50     GWS                          (in from $12)
$10        Melbourne                (in from $12)

Make the Final 8
$1.10     Kangaroos
                (out from $1.01)
$1.30     Essendon                   (in from $1.66)
$1.70     Collingwood              (out from $1.66)
$2.20     Adelaide                    (steady)
$2.55     Gold Coast                 (steady)
$12        West Coast                (steady)
$41        Richmond                  (steady)

Rising Star Winner
$1.90     Marcus Bontempelli            (in from $2.50)
                  
$5.00     Luke Dunstan                        (in from $10)
$7.00     James Aish                            (out from $5.00)
$9.00     Kade Kolodjashnij                  (out from $7.00)                                           
$10        Tom Langdon                        (out from $8.00)
$14        Luke McDonald                     (out from $12)
$14        Zac Merrett                          (out from $12)
$15        Jack Billings                           (steady)
$17        Jonathan Patton                    (in from $21)
$17        Josh Kelly                               (out from $10)
$26        Troy Menzel                          (out from $21)                                            
$26        Harry Cunningham               (steady)
$26        Jake Stringer                         (in from $51)           

Coleman Medal
$2.25     Lance Franklin (47)              (in from $2.75)
$3.50     Jay Schulz (52)                       (out from $3.25)
$7.00     Tom Hawkins (48)                 (out from $6.00)
$7.00     Jack Riewoldt (44)                 (in from $8.00)
$18        Jarryd Roughead (40)           (steady)
$21        Jack Gunston (40)                  (steady)
$26        Josh Kennedy (37)                 (steady)
$26        Nick Riewoldt (42)                (in from $34)
$34        Luke Breust (42)                    (steady)              
Others quoted

Brownlow Medal
$3.50     Scott Pendlebury
                (steady)
$3.50     Josh Kennedy                       (steady)
$6.00     Joel Selwood                         (in from $10)
$8.00     Gary Ablett                            (steady)
$14        Travis Boak                           (out from $10)
$16        Brent Harvey                         (steady)
$18        Lance Franklin                       (steady)
$21        Matthew Priddis                   (steady)
$23        Trent Cotchin                        (out from $21)           
Others quoted