AFL 2014 Round 18 betting preview: Marcus Bontempelli odds shorten for rising star

Posted by on 9/7/2014
Filled in: AFL

Port Adelaide may have lost three of the last four games, but they still look like holding onto a top 4 spot according to the market by online bookmaker sportsbet.

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Currently sitting in third position, the Power are priced at $2.25 to finish third or fourth. However while securing a home final looks a longer shot, priced at $5.00 to finish in the top two spots.

However, Port fans can relax, with big odds of $51 priced for them to miss the September finals action.

“No doubt the Power are in a bit of a slump, but the betting suggests that they will still bounce back and finish in the top four. Punters still think winning the flag isn’t out of the question – there has been more than double the money on them to go all the way compared to the likes of the Cats and Crows, so they are still in the hunt,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.

In other betting news:

  • Bontempelli Rising Star?: Marcus Bontempelli is now the stand alone favourite for the Rising Star, firming from $5.00 into $3.00. Regardless, punters are yet to jump on, with Tom Langdon and Luke Dunstan clearly the best backed.
  • Freo favs again: Fremantle have firmed from $4.75 into $3.50 to be equal favourites with Sydney. Port are on the drift, out from $5.50 out to $8.00.
  • Suns still finals bound: Despite Gary Ablett’s injury concerns, the Suns still look likely to make their first finals series, priced at $1.28 to make the top 8.
  • Schulz firms for Coleman: Being five goals clear, Schulz has firmed into $3.00 favouritism to win the Coleman Medal

Markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au

Where will Port Adelaide finish?
$4.00     1-2
$2.25     3-4
$2.50     5-6
$10        7-8                           
$51        outside of the 8                     

Rising Star Winner
$3.00     Marcus Bontempelli            (in from $5.00)                  
$7.00     Tom Langdon                        (out from $5.00)                  
$5.00     Kade Kolodjashnij                  (in from $6.00)                                           
$8.00     James Aish                            (out from $7.00)
$10        Luke McDonald                     (in from $12)
$11        Luke Dunstan                        (out from $9.00)
$12        Joe Daniher                           (steady)       
$12        Josh Kelly                               (out from $7.00)
$14        Jonathan Patton                    (out from $12)                          
$14        Troy Menzel                          (out from $12)                          
$15        Jack Billings                           (in from $21)
$16        Harry Cunningham               (in from $17)
$31        Jarman Impey                       (out from $26)
$34        Lewis Taylor                          (steady)         
$34        Jack Martin                           (steady)
$34        Matt Crouch                          (steady)                                           
Others quoted        

Matches
$2.12     Adelaide
$1.70     Hawthorn            

$5.75     Melbourne
$1.12     Geelong          
 


$1.03      North Melbourne
$11         St Kilda

$2.85     Western Bulldogs
$1.40     Gold Coast

$2.50     Brisbane
$1.50     West Coast

$1.11     Sydney
$6.00     Essendon

$2.50     Richmond
$1.50     Port Adelaide                      

$2.20     Essendon
$1.65     Collingwood

$1.02     Fremantle
$12        GWS 

Premiership winner
$3.50     Fremantle                 (in from $4.75)
$3.50     Sydney
                      (in from $3.75)
$4.50     Hawthorn                  (out from $3.75)
$8.00     Port Adelaide            (out from $5.50)
$8.00     Geelong                     (in from $10)
$26        North Melbourne      (in from $41)
$34        Collingwood              (out from $26)
$51        Adelaide                    (steady)
$51        Gold Coast                 (in from $67)
$81        Essendon                   (in from $101)
$251      West Coast                (out from $101)
$501      Carlton                      (steady)
$501      Richmond                  (steady)

Make the top 8
$1.03     North Melbourne
$1.28     Gold Coast
$1.36     Collingwood
$2.35     Adelaide
$2.70     Essendon
$17        West Coast
$51        Carlton
$51        Richmond                  

Least Wins
(Prices in brackets from Friday 4 July)
$1.11     St Kilda                                 (in from $1.20)
$10        Brisbane                                (out from $8.00)
$12        Melbourne                            (out from $10)
$12        GWS                                      (out from $10)

Coleman Medal
$3.00     Jay Schulz (48)                      (in from $4.50)
$3.50     Lance Franklin (41)               (out from $4.00)
$6.00     Tom Hawkins (43)                 (in from $7.00)
$9.00     Jarryd Roughead (40)           (out from $8.00)
$14        Jack Riewoldt (41)                 (out from $11)
$14        Josh Kennedy (37)                 (out from $12)
$16        Travis Cloke (29)                   (in from $18)
$21        Jack Gunston (36)                  (in from $34)
$26        Nick Riewoldt (37)                (steady)
$34        Luke Breust (39)                    (out from $26)              
Others quoted