Sportsbet

RBA tipped to cut Rates again

Online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au is tipping the US Federal Reserve will raise their interest rates in July at odds of $1.60.

  • US Fed Reserve tipped to increase interest rates in July.

 

  • RBA favoured to make another cut by year end.

 

  • Cash Rate falling below 1% unlikely in the next 12 months.

 

Moving earlier in their June decision is a $3.75 chance while our RBA decision for June is tipped to remain unchanged at $1.05.

Talk of the RBA dropping the Cash Rate appears very likely, Sportsbet offering $1.05 the next movement will be a decrease and $1.80 the rate will be at 1.50% at year end.

Speculation of a 1% level is unlikely within the next 12 months however – $7.50 is on offer for such a scenario.

“The RBA looks very likely to make another cut possibly in August but the Fed Reserve is going to move sooner by the looks of things,’’ said sportsbet.com.au’s Will Byrne.

 

Market courtesy sportsbet.com.au   

Will US Reserve lift rates in June?

$1.25  No

$3.75  Yes

               

Will the US Reserve lift Rates in July?

$1.60   Yes

$2.25  No

 

Interest Rate Futures

$7.50     RBA rate to be 1% or low by June 2017

 

RBA June Decision

$21      Decrease by 0.26% or more

$8.50  Decrease by 0.01 to 0.25%

$1.05   No change

$51      Increase by 0.01 to 0.25%

$101    Increase by 0.26% or more

 

Direction of next rate movement

$1.05     Rate will decrease

$8.50     Rate will increase

 

Interest Rate at the end of 2016

$16       Under 1%

$11      1.0 – 1.24%

$5.00   1.25 – 1.49%

$1.80   1.50 – 1.74%

$2.75  1.75 – 1.99%

$6.00  2%  or higher

 

Month of next rate movement (assumes no change May)

$8.50   June

$6.00   July

$3.00   August

$5.00   September

$7.50  October

$16      November

$16      December

$4.00  No Movement in 2016

 

Number of Changes in 2016

$3.50   One

$1.80  Two

$5.00   Three

$11      Four or more

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